Obama punt on immigration could backfire on Udall, Colorado Democrats

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Obama punt on immigration could backfire on Udall, Colorado Democrats
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A Shift on Immigration Politics? New Poll Says Yes

On Sunday, President Barack Obama told NBC’s Chuck Todd that the politics of immigration reform “did shift” as a result of the influx of unaccompanied undocumented children at the nation’s southern border.

New data shows he’s right about that.

A new poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal shows that 53 percent of Americans support granting undocumented immigrants a pathway to citizenship, while 45 percent oppose it.

Compare that to last April, when 64 percent supported it and 35 percent opposed it.

“That’s a big shift in American attitudes,” says Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with Democratic pollster Peter Hart and his colleagues at Hart Research. “And it’s a reminder of how much the Central American children story has ruptured and re-raised this topic in a difficult way.”

The intensity of opposition to a citizenship plan has jumped too, McInturff notes. Last year, 21 percent said they strongly opposed the idea, while 29 said they strongly supported it; now, 27 percent say they’re strongly against it and 21 percent strongly support it.

(It’s worth noting that this shift came when respondents were asked about “a proposal to create a pathway to citizenship that would allow foreigners who have jobs but are staying illegally in the United States the opportunity to eventually become legal American citizens.” The gap between April 2013 and now is narrower when poll-takers heard more details about the tenets of a bipartisan immigration reform plan, including the requirements that undocumented immigrants pay a fine, pay back taxes and pass a background check.)

So: who has changed their mind about immigration reform?

One of the most precipitous declines has come from Republicans. In April 2013, before the Senate passed a comprehensive deal that was ultimately rejected by the GOP-led House, almost half – 47 percent – of Republicans said they favored a path to citizenship. That number is down 15 points to just 32 percent. (However, if offered more details about the requirements for citizenship, a majority – 64 percent – of self-identified Republicans still say they support it.)

African-Americans have also seen a noteworthy slide in support for the citizenship proposal. Now, 59 percent of black respondents back it, versus 75 percent who supported it last spring.

Backing for a pathway to citizenship has also fallen by double digits among seniors (down 11 percent), women (down 14), young people (down 10) and whites (10 points). Support from respondents aged 50-64 dropped 16 points, from 63 percent last year to 47 percent now.

One place where the shift doesn’t seem to be happening is among Hispanics.

Despite widespread disappointment among immigration activists about the failure to achieve reform – either through legislation or executive action – Hispanic support for the plan remains high at 77 percent.

Perhaps most striking in the run-up to the November elections is how polarizing immigration reform has become in states with key midterm races. Respondents in states with a closely contested Senate race are evenly split (48 percent supporting to 49 percent opposing) on the issue of a path to citizenship.

That explains why ads about “amnesty” are popping up even in states far removed from the nation’s southern border, McInturff notes.

“Now we have … campaigns in the northeast, in other parts of the country, running immigration spots,” he said. “And the difference is how the central American kids totally reopened the dialogue about whether our borders are secure.”



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A Shift on Immigration Politics? New Poll Says Yes
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Wonkblog: Why putting off immigration reform won’t make it any easier


The light at the end of the tunnel keeps getting blurrier. (Evan Vucci/AP Photo)

President Obama’s decision to delay executive action on immigration reform until after the midterms in November might not save the Democratic party its majority in the Senate, or lead to the sort of inclusive and robust overhaul the president promised earlier this summer.

The fear among immigration advocates is that reform has taken a back seat. “It’s just really, really ridiculous to see that they’re basically once again throwing the Latino community under the bus when it comes to politics,” Erika Andiola, co-director of the Dream Action Coalition, told The Washington Post on Saturday. “Why are we being thrown under the bus just to keep the Senate, when they can’t even prove that it’s going to hurt the Senate?”

A number of immigration legal experts pointed out that a backlash against the president for acting on immigration is likely to come regardless of his timing, whether he acts now, or sometime between November and the end of the year, as he has now reportedly promised. Republicans in several highly contested races are already running campaigns that dwell on Obama’s intention to act unilaterally on the issue of immigration.

“Make no mistake: President Obama plans to grant amnesty; it’s just that he will cynically wait until after the election so as not to harm Senate Democrats like Jeanne Shaheen,” New Hampshire senate candidate Scott Brown said in a statement. Brown now trails Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen by only two percentage points, after polls in July suggested a gap of more than 12 points.

“There’s some sentiment that executive action on immigration reform might not actually affect the elections, because the GOP are using his intent as a talking point already,” said Marielena Hincapié, the executive director of the National Immigration Law Center.

If Republicans manage to control both the House and the Senate come November—the odds are currently stacked, if ever so slightly, in their favor in the Senate—it could become even more difficult for lawmakers to push through sweeping legislative reform, or for the president to act unilaterally without even more serious political backlash.

For one, the GOP-controlled chambers might work to limit executive power. “A Republican-controlled Senate could mean they will actually try to push through legislation and bills to challenge the president’s authority,” Hincapié said, suggesting that GOP lawmakers could push for laws that make it more difficult for the president to enact sweeping reform without the support of the Senate or the House.

While that scenario is unlikely to unfold, the GOP could still tie the president’s hands a bit, according to Hincapié. “They could, for instance, push to prove that funding simply isn’t there for the reforms he announces,” she said.

Republicans could also work to draft their own immigration reform proposal, which might tempt Obama to further postpone unilateral action. ”If they win both the Senate and the House, it’s very likely they will at least try to make an attempt at immigration reform,” Hincapié said. “The concern is whether the White House will decide to delay any executive authority reforms in order to wait and see what the Senate and House do in terms of legislation.”

Obama is unlikely to sign any legislation proposed by a Republican-controlled House and Senate. But Hincapié suggests that the longer the president waits, the weaker the reform is likely to be. 

In any case, a Republican-led Senate means any action by the Obama administration will appear particularly rogue, considering that neither the House nor the Senate will likely endorse it (Republicans are far less likely to prioritize the expansion of pathways to citizenship).

“It could be Obamacare all over again,” said Tamar Jacoby, president and CEO of ImmigrationWorks USA. “It won’t even be about immigration—it will turn into a question of constitutionality.”

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Wonkblog: Why putting off immigration reform won’t make it any easier
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5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political

Washington (CNN) — President Barack Obama says he won’t act on immigration reform until after the November congressional elections.

The news angered Latino groups pushing him to make good on past promises to halt or substantially reduce deportations of immigrants living illegally in the country.

It also prompted criticism from some Democrats, who have called for Obama to act unilaterally in the face of Republican obstruction of immigration legislation.

Even Republicans who oppose Obama’s intended reforms found a way to attack the President for not doing something they don’t want.

Here are five reasons why the unfolding Washington drama is all about politics and the upcoming elections:

Latinos ‘really pissed off’ with the GOP

1) Waiting until after the November election keeps the focus on the voting

The election is for all 435 House seats and about a third of the Senate, not the White House.

Betting money now says Republicans hold their House majority and perhaps gain control of the Senate.

By putting off his move until after the election, Obama prevents diverting attention from historically low public approval for Congress. A Washington Post-ABC poll in early August showed that for the first time, a majority of Americans disapproved of their own representatives.

An anti-incumbent atmosphere may be the Democrats’ only hope for preventing Republicans from holding majorities in both chambers.

“For the Democrats, they want to make this election season about each individual candidate, about their gaffes, about their personalities,” Manu Raju of Politico told CNN on Sunday. “They don’t want to make this an issue-based election.”

Republicans know that, which is why they criticized Obama even though they oppose his planned unilateral moves.

“It’s sad, but not surprising, that President Obama continues to play politics with such a serious and important issue, but for this White House politics seems to dictate everything,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Ruth Guerra.

2) It avoids providing further fodder to GOP attack line of imperial Obama

According to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House, Obama has looked at expanding a program that allows immigrants brought to America illegally as children to avoid deportation. The White House also could protect undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming.

Republicans, particularly conservatives, routinely accuse Obama of exceeding the bounds of his powers through executive actions. They consider immigration reforms — like a Senate-passed bill or the steps Obama contemplates — to amount to an amnesty for lawbreakers.

The GOP-led House already has authorized a lawsuit against Obama for allegedly unconstitutional steps in implementing his signature health care reforms.

Proceeding with executive actions now on immigration would strengthen a central conservative campaign issue for November.

Democrats saw “some very scary polling out of some of these red states, particularly among independent voters, where the idea of executive action in particular was not looking good for some of these Democrats who were hanging on for dear life as it is,” Molly Ball of The Atlantic told CNN on Sunday.

3) Democrats don’t have to defend a move made less popular by the child immigrant crisis

Always a volatile political issue, immigration reform became even more inflammatory due to the influx of children from Central America across the Texas border this year.

The tens of thousands of unaccompanied minors have overwhelmed U.S. border and immigration services, creating further backlogs in a system already known for long delays and lack of follow-up in processing cases.

On June 30, Obama said at the White House he would act on his own on immigration, after GOP House Speaker John Boehner made clear the chamber would not take up a Senate reform bill that passed with bipartisan support.

The President said then he expected recommendations from his Cabinet on what steps he could take before the end of summer, and that he intended to “adopt those recommendations without further delay.”

However, the child immigrant influx hardened positions and raised new concerns about lax border controls, causing Obama to change his message in an interview with NBC broadcast Sunday.

“This problem with unaccompanied children that we saw a couple weeks ago — where you had from Central America a surge of kids who were showing up at the border — got a lot of attention, and a lot of Americans started thinking, ‘We’ve got this immigration crisis on our hands, ‘” Obama said, adding later that “the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem.”

Now, he said, “I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy.”

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Monday that Obama “has not in any way altered his commitment or interest in taking executive action, again, within the confines of the law, to act where Congress hasn’t and more specifically, to act where congressional Republicans have blocked congressional action.”

“And the President’s commitment to acting on this before the end of the year has not changed,” Earnest added.

4) It keeps pressure on House Republicans for not voting on the Senate plan

By not acting now, Obama allows his administration and congressional Democrats to keep blaming Republicans for a lack of progress.

Every chance he gets, Obama notes how the Senate immigration bill had support from both parties as well as a broad public coalition including business, labor, religious and law enforcement groups backing it, but won’t pass because House Republicans oppose it.

Earnest said that “injecting an executive action in the midst of this hyperpartisan, hyperpolitical environment” shortly before the November election could have “a negative impact on the broader public support and on the sustainability of immigration reform.”

Conservatives respond that the Senate reforms let immigrant lawbreakers off the hook and would increase competition for jobs as the economy continues growing at a slower-than-desired pace.

Keeping the focus on the broader immigration debate, rather than specifics of any unilateral steps the President might take, allows congressional Democrats — especially vulnerable Senate incumbents — to depict House Republicans as blocking progress.

“You have Democrats now who knew they always had an outside shot, but the President is not putting them under the gun and putting them on the spot,” Robert Costa of the Washington Post told CNN on Sunday. “They think they can go to some other issues and have some strengths.”

5) It responds to the political middle more than left-leaning immigrant communities

The news of no executive action on immigration until after the November election angered Latino groups and others, who back reforms and who helped Obama get strong support from Hispanic voters in his two presidential elections.

“When candidate Obama asked our community for support in 2008 and 2012, he urged us all to vote based on our hopes, not our fears,” said Janet Murguía, president and CEO of the National Council of La Raza, a leading Hispanic advocacy group. “Today, President Obama gave in to the fears of Democratic political operatives, crushing the hopes of millions of hard-working people living under the constant threat of deportation and family separation.”

Or as CNN contributor Ruben Navarrette put it: “Some on the left are finally getting the message that Obama is not their amigo.”

“For Obama, the question is never what he can do for the immigration issue, but what the immigration issue can do for him,” Navarette wrote in an opinion piece published Monday.

In this case, Obama decided that angering his traditional political allies made more short-term sense than putting vulnerable Democrats — especially incumbent Democrats in the Senate — at greater risk of a backlash against unilateral immigration moves from independent voters who will decide close races in November.

CNN chief national correspondent John King noted Sunday that most of the vulnerable Senate Democrats come from states that don’t have big Latino populations.

Democrats blame GOP for Obama immigration delay

Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action ‘more sustainable’

CNN’s Leigh Ann Caldwell contributed to this report.


Source Article from http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/08/politics/obama-immigration-5-things/index.html
5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political
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5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political

Washington (CNN) — President Barack Obama says he won’t act on immigration reform until after the November congressional elections.

The news angered Latino groups pushing him to make good on past promises to halt or substantially reduce deportations of immigrants living illegally in the country.

It also prompted criticism from some Democrats, who have called for Obama to act unilaterally in the face of Republican obstruction of immigration legislation.

Even Republicans who oppose Obama’s intended reforms found a way to attack the President for not doing something they don’t want.

Here are five reasons why the unfolding Washington drama is all about politics and the upcoming elections:

Latinos ‘really pissed off’ with the GOP

1) Waiting until after the November election keeps the focus on the voting

The election is for all 435 House seats and about a third of the Senate, not the White House.

Betting money now says Republicans hold their House majority and perhaps gain control of the Senate.

By putting off his move until after the election, Obama prevents diverting attention from historically low public approval for Congress. A Washington Post-ABC poll in early August showed that for the first time, a majority of Americans disapproved of their own representatives.

An anti-incumbent atmosphere may be the Democrats’ only hope for preventing Republicans from holding majorities in both chambers.

“For the Democrats, they want to make this election season about each individual candidate, about their gaffes, about their personalities,” Manu Raju of Politico told CNN on Sunday. “They don’t want to make this an issue-based election.”

Republicans know that, which is why they criticized Obama even though they oppose his planned unilateral moves.

“It’s sad, but not surprising, that President Obama continues to play politics with such a serious and important issue, but for this White House politics seems to dictate everything,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Ruth Guerra.

2) It avoids providing further fodder to GOP attack line of imperial Obama

According to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House, Obama has looked at expanding a program that allows immigrants brought to America illegally as children to avoid deportation. The White House also could protect undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming.

Republicans, particularly conservatives, routinely accuse Obama of exceeding the bounds of his powers through executive actions. They consider immigration reforms — like a Senate-passed bill or the steps Obama contemplates — to amount to an amnesty for lawbreakers.

The GOP-led House already has authorized a lawsuit against Obama for allegedly unconstitutional steps in implementing his signature health care reforms.

Proceeding with executive actions now on immigration would strengthen a central conservative campaign issue for November.

Democrats saw “some very scary polling out of some of these red states, particularly among independent voters, where the idea of executive action in particular was not looking good for some of these Democrats who were hanging on for dear life as it is,” Molly Ball of The Atlantic told CNN on Sunday.

3) Democrats don’t have to defend a move made less popular by the child immigrant crisis

Always a volatile political issue, immigration reform became even more inflammatory due to the influx of children from Central America across the Texas border this year.

The tens of thousands of unaccompanied minors have overwhelmed U.S. border and immigration services, creating further backlogs in a system already known for long delays and lack of follow-up in processing cases.

On June 30, Obama said at the White House he would act on his own on immigration, after GOP House Speaker John Boehner made clear the chamber would not take up a Senate reform bill that passed with bipartisan support.

The President said then he expected recommendations from his Cabinet on what steps he could take before the end of summer, and that he intended to “adopt those recommendations without further delay.”

However, the child immigrant influx hardened positions and raised new concerns about lax border controls, causing Obama to change his message in an interview with NBC broadcast Sunday.

“This problem with unaccompanied children that we saw a couple weeks ago — where you had from Central America a surge of kids who were showing up at the border — got a lot of attention, and a lot of Americans started thinking, ‘We’ve got this immigration crisis on our hands, ‘” Obama said, adding later that “the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem.”

Now, he said, “I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy.”

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Monday that Obama “has not in any way altered his commitment or interest in taking executive action, again, within the confines of the law, to act where Congress hasn’t and more specifically, to act where congressional Republicans have blocked congressional action.”

“And the President’s commitment to acting on this before the end of the year has not changed,” Earnest added.

4) It keeps pressure on House Republicans for not voting on the Senate plan

By not acting now, Obama allows his administration and congressional Democrats to keep blaming Republicans for a lack of progress.

Every chance he gets, Obama notes how the Senate immigration bill had support from both parties as well as a broad public coalition including business, labor, religious and law enforcement groups backing it, but won’t pass because House Republicans oppose it.

Earnest said that “injecting an executive action in the midst of this hyperpartisan, hyperpolitical environment” shortly before the November election could have “a negative impact on the broader public support and on the sustainability of immigration reform.”

Conservatives respond that the Senate reforms let immigrant lawbreakers off the hook and would increase competition for jobs as the economy continues growing at a slower-than-desired pace.

Keeping the focus on the broader immigration debate, rather than specifics of any unilateral steps the President might take, allows congressional Democrats — especially vulnerable Senate incumbents — to depict House Republicans as blocking progress.

“You have Democrats now who knew they always had an outside shot, but the President is not putting them under the gun and putting them on the spot,” Robert Costa of the Washington Post told CNN on Sunday. “They think they can go to some other issues and have some strengths.”

5) It responds to the political middle more than left-leaning immigrant communities

The news of no executive action on immigration until after the November election angered Latino groups and others, who back reforms and who helped Obama get strong support from Hispanic voters in his two presidential elections.

“When candidate Obama asked our community for support in 2008 and 2012, he urged us all to vote based on our hopes, not our fears,” said Janet Murguía, president and CEO of the National Council of La Raza, a leading Hispanic advocacy group. “Today, President Obama gave in to the fears of Democratic political operatives, crushing the hopes of millions of hard-working people living under the constant threat of deportation and family separation.”

Or as CNN contributor Ruben Navarrette put it: “Some on the left are finally getting the message that Obama is not their amigo.”

“For Obama, the question is never what he can do for the immigration issue, but what the immigration issue can do for him,” Navarette wrote in an opinion piece published Monday.

In this case, Obama decided that angering his traditional political allies made more short-term sense than putting vulnerable Democrats — especially incumbent Democrats in the Senate — at greater risk of a backlash against unilateral immigration moves from independent voters who will decide close races in November.

CNN chief national correspondent John King noted Sunday that most of the vulnerable Senate Democrats come from states that don’t have big Latino populations.

Democrats blame GOP for Obama immigration delay

Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action ‘more sustainable’

CNN’s Leigh Ann Caldwell contributed to this report.


Source Article from http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/08/politics/obama-immigration-5-things/index.html
5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/08/politics/obama-immigration-5-things/index.html
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immigration – Yahoo News Search Results
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5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political

Washington (CNN) — President Barack Obama says he won’t act on immigration reform until after the November congressional elections.

The news angered Latino groups pushing him to make good on past promises to halt or substantially reduce deportations of immigrants living illegally in the country.

It also prompted criticism from some Democrats, who have called for Obama to act unilaterally in the face of Republican obstruction of immigration legislation.

Even Republicans who oppose Obama’s intended reforms found a way to attack the President for not doing something they don’t want.

Here are five reasons why the unfolding Washington drama is all about politics and the upcoming elections:

Latinos ‘really pissed off’ with the GOP

1) Waiting until after the November election keeps the focus on the voting

The election is for all 435 House seats and about a third of the Senate, not the White House.

Betting money now says Republicans hold their House majority and perhaps gain control of the Senate.

By putting off his move until after the election, Obama prevents diverting attention from historically low public approval for Congress. A Washington Post-ABC poll in early August showed that for the first time, a majority of Americans disapproved of their own representatives.

An anti-incumbent atmosphere may be the Democrats’ only hope for preventing Republicans from holding majorities in both chambers.

“For the Democrats, they want to make this election season about each individual candidate, about their gaffes, about their personalities,” Manu Raju of Politico told CNN on Sunday. “They don’t want to make this an issue-based election.”

Republicans know that, which is why they criticized Obama even though they oppose his planned unilateral moves.

“It’s sad, but not surprising, that President Obama continues to play politics with such a serious and important issue, but for this White House politics seems to dictate everything,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Ruth Guerra.

2) It avoids providing further fodder to GOP attack line of imperial Obama

According to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House, Obama has looked at expanding a program that allows immigrants brought to America illegally as children to avoid deportation. The White House also could protect undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming.

Republicans, particularly conservatives, routinely accuse Obama of exceeding the bounds of his powers through executive actions. They consider immigration reforms — like a Senate-passed bill or the steps Obama contemplates — to amount to an amnesty for lawbreakers.

The GOP-led House already has authorized a lawsuit against Obama for allegedly unconstitutional steps in implementing his signature health care reforms.

Proceeding with executive actions now on immigration would strengthen a central conservative campaign issue for November.

Democrats saw “some very scary polling out of some of these red states, particularly among independent voters, where the idea of executive action in particular was not looking good for some of these Democrats who were hanging on for dear life as it is,” Molly Ball of The Atlantic told CNN on Sunday.

3) Democrats don’t have to defend a move made less popular by the child immigrant crisis

Always a volatile political issue, immigration reform became even more inflammatory due to the influx of children from Central America across the Texas border this year.

The tens of thousands of unaccompanied minors have overwhelmed U.S. border and immigration services, creating further backlogs in a system already known for long delays and lack of follow-up in processing cases.

On June 30, Obama said at the White House he would act on his own on immigration, after GOP House Speaker John Boehner made clear the chamber would not take up a Senate reform bill that passed with bipartisan support.

The President said then he expected recommendations from his Cabinet on what steps he could take before the end of summer, and that he intended to “adopt those recommendations without further delay.”

However, the child immigrant influx hardened positions and raised new concerns about lax border controls, causing Obama to change his message in an interview with NBC broadcast Sunday.

“This problem with unaccompanied children that we saw a couple weeks ago — where you had from Central America a surge of kids who were showing up at the border — got a lot of attention, and a lot of Americans started thinking, ‘We’ve got this immigration crisis on our hands, ‘” Obama said, adding later that “the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem.”

Now, he said, “I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy.”

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Monday that Obama “has not in any way altered his commitment or interest in taking executive action, again, within the confines of the law, to act where Congress hasn’t and more specifically, to act where congressional Republicans have blocked congressional action.”

“And the President’s commitment to acting on this before the end of the year has not changed,” Earnest added.

4) It keeps pressure on House Republicans for not voting on the Senate plan

By not acting now, Obama allows his administration and congressional Democrats to keep blaming Republicans for a lack of progress.

Every chance he gets, Obama notes how the Senate immigration bill had support from both parties as well as a broad public coalition including business, labor, religious and law enforcement groups backing it, but won’t pass because House Republicans oppose it.

Earnest said that “injecting an executive action in the midst of this hyperpartisan, hyperpolitical environment” shortly before the November election could have “a negative impact on the broader public support and on the sustainability of immigration reform.”

Conservatives respond that the Senate reforms let immigrant lawbreakers off the hook and would increase competition for jobs as the economy continues growing at a slower-than-desired pace.

Keeping the focus on the broader immigration debate, rather than specifics of any unilateral steps the President might take, allows congressional Democrats — especially vulnerable Senate incumbents — to depict House Republicans as blocking progress.

“You have Democrats now who knew they always had an outside shot, but the President is not putting them under the gun and putting them on the spot,” Robert Costa of the Washington Post told CNN on Sunday. “They think they can go to some other issues and have some strengths.”

5) It responds to the political middle more than left-leaning immigrant communities

The news of no executive action on immigration until after the November election angered Latino groups and others, who back reforms and who helped Obama get strong support from Hispanic voters in his two presidential elections.

“When candidate Obama asked our community for support in 2008 and 2012, he urged us all to vote based on our hopes, not our fears,” said Janet Murguía, president and CEO of the National Council of La Raza, a leading Hispanic advocacy group. “Today, President Obama gave in to the fears of Democratic political operatives, crushing the hopes of millions of hard-working people living under the constant threat of deportation and family separation.”

Or as CNN contributor Ruben Navarrette put it: “Some on the left are finally getting the message that Obama is not their amigo.”

“For Obama, the question is never what he can do for the immigration issue, but what the immigration issue can do for him,” Navarette wrote in an opinion piece published Monday.

In this case, Obama decided that angering his traditional political allies made more short-term sense than putting vulnerable Democrats — especially incumbent Democrats in the Senate — at greater risk of a backlash against unilateral immigration moves from independent voters who will decide close races in November.

CNN chief national correspondent John King noted Sunday that most of the vulnerable Senate Democrats come from states that don’t have big Latino populations.

Democrats blame GOP for Obama immigration delay

Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action ‘more sustainable’

CNN’s Leigh Ann Caldwell contributed to this report.


Source Article from http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/08/politics/obama-immigration-5-things/index.html
5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/08/politics/obama-immigration-5-things/index.html
http://news.search.yahoo.com/news/rss?p=immigration
immigration – Yahoo News Search Results
immigration – Yahoo News Search Results

5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political

Washington (CNN) — President Barack Obama says he won’t act on immigration reform until after the November congressional elections.

The news angered Latino groups pushing him to make good on past promises to halt or substantially reduce deportations of immigrants living illegally in the country.

It also prompted criticism from some Democrats, who have called for Obama to act unilaterally in the face of Republican obstruction of immigration legislation.

Even Republicans who oppose Obama’s intended reforms found a way to attack the President for not doing something they don’t want.

Here are five reasons why the unfolding Washington drama is all about politics and the upcoming elections:

Latinos ‘really pissed off’ with the GOP

1) Waiting until after the November election keeps the focus on the voting

The election is for all 435 House seats and about a third of the Senate, not the White House.

Betting money now says Republicans hold their House majority and perhaps gain control of the Senate.

By putting off his move until after the election, Obama prevents diverting attention from historically low public approval for Congress. A Washington Post-ABC poll in early August showed that for the first time, a majority of Americans disapproved of their own representatives.

An anti-incumbent atmosphere may be the Democrats’ only hope for preventing Republicans from holding majorities in both chambers.

“For the Democrats, they want to make this election season about each individual candidate, about their gaffes, about their personalities,” Manu Raju of Politico told CNN on Sunday. “They don’t want to make this an issue-based election.”

Republicans know that, which is why they criticized Obama even though they oppose his planned unilateral moves.

“It’s sad, but not surprising, that President Obama continues to play politics with such a serious and important issue, but for this White House politics seems to dictate everything,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Ruth Guerra.

2) It avoids providing further fodder to GOP attack line of imperial Obama

According to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House, Obama has looked at expanding a program that allows immigrants brought to America illegally as children to avoid deportation. The White House also could protect undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming.

Republicans, particularly conservatives, routinely accuse Obama of exceeding the bounds of his powers through executive actions. They consider immigration reforms — like a Senate-passed bill or the steps Obama contemplates — to amount to an amnesty for lawbreakers.

The GOP-led House already has authorized a lawsuit against Obama for allegedly unconstitutional steps in implementing his signature health care reforms.

Proceeding with executive actions now on immigration would strengthen a central conservative campaign issue for November.

Democrats saw “some very scary polling out of some of these red states, particularly among independent voters, where the idea of executive action in particular was not looking good for some of these Democrats who were hanging on for dear life as it is,” Molly Ball of The Atlantic told CNN on Sunday.

3) Democrats don’t have to defend a move made less popular by the child immigrant crisis

Always a volatile political issue, immigration reform became even more inflammatory due to the influx of children from Central America across the Texas border this year.

The tens of thousands of unaccompanied minors have overwhelmed U.S. border and immigration services, creating further backlogs in a system already known for long delays and lack of follow-up in processing cases.

On June 30, Obama said at the White House he would act on his own on immigration, after GOP House Speaker John Boehner made clear the chamber would not take up a Senate reform bill that passed with bipartisan support.

The President said then he expected recommendations from his Cabinet on what steps he could take before the end of summer, and that he intended to “adopt those recommendations without further delay.”

However, the child immigrant influx hardened positions and raised new concerns about lax border controls, causing Obama to change his message in an interview with NBC broadcast Sunday.

“This problem with unaccompanied children that we saw a couple weeks ago — where you had from Central America a surge of kids who were showing up at the border — got a lot of attention, and a lot of Americans started thinking, ‘We’ve got this immigration crisis on our hands, ‘” Obama said, adding later that “the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem.”

Now, he said, “I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy.”

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Monday that Obama “has not in any way altered his commitment or interest in taking executive action, again, within the confines of the law, to act where Congress hasn’t and more specifically, to act where congressional Republicans have blocked congressional action.”

“And the President’s commitment to acting on this before the end of the year has not changed,” Earnest added.

4) It keeps pressure on House Republicans for not voting on the Senate plan

By not acting now, Obama allows his administration and congressional Democrats to keep blaming Republicans for a lack of progress.

Every chance he gets, Obama notes how the Senate immigration bill had support from both parties as well as a broad public coalition including business, labor, religious and law enforcement groups backing it, but won’t pass because House Republicans oppose it.

Earnest said that “injecting an executive action in the midst of this hyperpartisan, hyperpolitical environment” shortly before the November election could have “a negative impact on the broader public support and on the sustainability of immigration reform.”

Conservatives respond that the Senate reforms let immigrant lawbreakers off the hook and would increase competition for jobs as the economy continues growing at a slower-than-desired pace.

Keeping the focus on the broader immigration debate, rather than specifics of any unilateral steps the President might take, allows congressional Democrats — especially vulnerable Senate incumbents — to depict House Republicans as blocking progress.

“You have Democrats now who knew they always had an outside shot, but the President is not putting them under the gun and putting them on the spot,” Robert Costa of the Washington Post told CNN on Sunday. “They think they can go to some other issues and have some strengths.”

5) It responds to the political middle more than left-leaning immigrant communities

The news of no executive action on immigration until after the November election angered Latino groups and others, who back reforms and who helped Obama get strong support from Hispanic voters in his two presidential elections.

“When candidate Obama asked our community for support in 2008 and 2012, he urged us all to vote based on our hopes, not our fears,” said Janet Murguía, president and CEO of the National Council of La Raza, a leading Hispanic advocacy group. “Today, President Obama gave in to the fears of Democratic political operatives, crushing the hopes of millions of hard-working people living under the constant threat of deportation and family separation.”

Or as CNN contributor Ruben Navarrette put it: “Some on the left are finally getting the message that Obama is not their amigo.”

“For Obama, the question is never what he can do for the immigration issue, but what the immigration issue can do for him,” Navarette wrote in an opinion piece published Monday.

In this case, Obama decided that angering his traditional political allies made more short-term sense than putting vulnerable Democrats — especially incumbent Democrats in the Senate — at greater risk of a backlash against unilateral immigration moves from independent voters who will decide close races in November.

CNN chief national correspondent John King noted Sunday that most of the vulnerable Senate Democrats come from states that don’t have big Latino populations.

Democrats blame GOP for Obama immigration delay

Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action ‘more sustainable’

CNN’s Leigh Ann Caldwell contributed to this report.


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5 reasons Obama's delay on immigration is political

Washington (CNN) — President Barack Obama says he won’t act on immigration reform until after the November congressional elections.

The news angered Latino groups pushing him to make good on past promises to halt or substantially reduce deportations of immigrants living illegally in the country.

It also prompted criticism from some Democrats, who have called for Obama to act unilaterally in the face of Republican obstruction of immigration legislation.

Even Republicans who oppose Obama’s intended reforms found a way to attack the President for not doing something they don’t want.

Here are five reasons why the unfolding Washington drama is all about politics and the upcoming elections:

Latinos ‘really pissed off’ with the GOP

1) Waiting until after the November election keeps the focus on the voting

The election is for all 435 House seats and about a third of the Senate, not the White House.

Betting money now says Republicans hold their House majority and perhaps gain control of the Senate.

By putting off his move until after the election, Obama prevents diverting attention from historically low public approval for Congress. A Washington Post-ABC poll in early August showed that for the first time, a majority of Americans disapproved of their own representatives.

An anti-incumbent atmosphere may be the Democrats’ only hope for preventing Republicans from holding majorities in both chambers.

“For the Democrats, they want to make this election season about each individual candidate, about their gaffes, about their personalities,” Manu Raju of Politico told CNN on Sunday. “They don’t want to make this an issue-based election.”

Republicans know that, which is why they criticized Obama even though they oppose his planned unilateral moves.

“It’s sad, but not surprising, that President Obama continues to play politics with such a serious and important issue, but for this White House politics seems to dictate everything,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Ruth Guerra.

2) It avoids providing further fodder to GOP attack line of imperial Obama

According to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House, Obama has looked at expanding a program that allows immigrants brought to America illegally as children to avoid deportation. The White House also could protect undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming.

Republicans, particularly conservatives, routinely accuse Obama of exceeding the bounds of his powers through executive actions. They consider immigration reforms — like a Senate-passed bill or the steps Obama contemplates — to amount to an amnesty for lawbreakers.

The GOP-led House already has authorized a lawsuit against Obama for allegedly unconstitutional steps in implementing his signature health care reforms.

Proceeding with executive actions now on immigration would strengthen a central conservative campaign issue for November.

Democrats saw “some very scary polling out of some of these red states, particularly among independent voters, where the idea of executive action in particular was not looking good for some of these Democrats who were hanging on for dear life as it is,” Molly Ball of The Atlantic told CNN on Sunday.

3) Democrats don’t have to defend a move made less popular by the child immigrant crisis

Always a volatile political issue, immigration reform became even more inflammatory due to the influx of children from Central America across the Texas border this year.

The tens of thousands of unaccompanied minors have overwhelmed U.S. border and immigration services, creating further backlogs in a system already known for long delays and lack of follow-up in processing cases.

On June 30, Obama said at the White House he would act on his own on immigration, after GOP House Speaker John Boehner made clear the chamber would not take up a Senate reform bill that passed with bipartisan support.

The President said then he expected recommendations from his Cabinet on what steps he could take before the end of summer, and that he intended to “adopt those recommendations without further delay.”

However, the child immigrant influx hardened positions and raised new concerns about lax border controls, causing Obama to change his message in an interview with NBC broadcast Sunday.

“This problem with unaccompanied children that we saw a couple weeks ago — where you had from Central America a surge of kids who were showing up at the border — got a lot of attention, and a lot of Americans started thinking, ‘We’ve got this immigration crisis on our hands, ‘” Obama said, adding later that “the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem.”

Now, he said, “I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy.”

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Monday that Obama “has not in any way altered his commitment or interest in taking executive action, again, within the confines of the law, to act where Congress hasn’t and more specifically, to act where congressional Republicans have blocked congressional action.”

“And the President’s commitment to acting on this before the end of the year has not changed,” Earnest added.

4) It keeps pressure on House Republicans for not voting on the Senate plan

By not acting now, Obama allows his administration and congressional Democrats to keep blaming Republicans for a lack of progress.

Every chance he gets, Obama notes how the Senate immigration bill had support from both parties as well as a broad public coalition including business, labor, religious and law enforcement groups backing it, but won’t pass because House Republicans oppose it.

Earnest said that “injecting an executive action in the midst of this hyperpartisan, hyperpolitical environment” shortly before the November election could have “a negative impact on the broader public support and on the sustainability of immigration reform.”

Conservatives respond that the Senate reforms let immigrant lawbreakers off the hook and would increase competition for jobs as the economy continues growing at a slower-than-desired pace.

Keeping the focus on the broader immigration debate, rather than specifics of any unilateral steps the President might take, allows congressional Democrats — especially vulnerable Senate incumbents — to depict House Republicans as blocking progress.

“You have Democrats now who knew they always had an outside shot, but the President is not putting them under the gun and putting them on the spot,” Robert Costa of the Washington Post told CNN on Sunday. “They think they can go to some other issues and have some strengths.”

5) It responds to the political middle more than left-leaning immigrant communities

The news of no executive action on immigration until after the November election angered Latino groups and others, who back reforms and who helped Obama get strong support from Hispanic voters in his two presidential elections.

“When candidate Obama asked our community for support in 2008 and 2012, he urged us all to vote based on our hopes, not our fears,” said Janet Murguía, president and CEO of the National Council of La Raza, a leading Hispanic advocacy group. “Today, President Obama gave in to the fears of Democratic political operatives, crushing the hopes of millions of hard-working people living under the constant threat of deportation and family separation.”

Or as CNN contributor Ruben Navarrette put it: “Some on the left are finally getting the message that Obama is not their amigo.”

“For Obama, the question is never what he can do for the immigration issue, but what the immigration issue can do for him,” Navarette wrote in an opinion piece published Monday.

In this case, Obama decided that angering his traditional political allies made more short-term sense than putting vulnerable Democrats — especially incumbent Democrats in the Senate — at greater risk of a backlash against unilateral immigration moves from independent voters who will decide close races in November.

CNN chief national correspondent John King noted Sunday that most of the vulnerable Senate Democrats come from states that don’t have big Latino populations.

Democrats blame GOP for Obama immigration delay

Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action ‘more sustainable’

CNN’s Leigh Ann Caldwell contributed to this report.


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Obama: Waiting will make immigration executive action 'more sustainable'

(CNN) — President Barack Obama says he’s postponing executive action on immigration until after November’s elections because it would be “more sustainable” then.

Speaking to NBC’s Chuck Todd, Obama said the immigration debate was affected by concerns over the large number of unaccompanied children from Latin America flocking to the U.S. border.

“The truth of the matter is that the politics did shift mid-summer because of that problem,” he said.

“What I’m saying is that I’m going to act because it’s the right thing for the country,” Obama said. “But it’s going to be more sustainable and more effective if the public understands what the facts are on immigration, what we’ve done on unaccompanied children and why it’s necessary.”

The decision to postpone means any political repercussions for trying to reform the immigration system by himself would come after the congressional midterm contests.

Obama still “will do something before the end of the year” on the issue, a White House official told CNN on Saturday.

People on both sides of the immigration debate criticized the postponement, including pro-immigration reform groups that are impatient for action.

Obama has been weighing executive action on immigration – including moves that could allow a path to legal status for millions of undocumented workers — after congressional action on the issue stalled. The options could include expanding a deferred deportation program for children of immigrants.

But he decided to delay any move to “take this issue away from those who would use it to score points as a kind of grandstanding issue,” the White House official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

“It’s too big of an issue to allow it to be used as a tool for people trying to get votes,” the official said. “It isn’t about votes for any particular candidate; it’s about dealing with this issue in an environment that avoids the grandstanding we’ve seen in the past.”

Another reason to wait: Should the Democrats retain control of the Senate in November, Republicans may feel it necessary “to try a different strategy” and compromise on immigration, the White House official said.

Scott Brown criticizes move

Republican Scott Brown, the former U.S. senator from Massachusetts who is now running for Senate from New Hampshire, ripped the move, saying it was a cynical ploy to protect Obama’s fellow Democrats for the elections.

After Obama threatened to take executive action this summer, Republicans pushed back, saying among other things that the President shouldn’t remove Congress from the equation. Some GOP lawmakers had suggested holding up a bill funding federal agencies — thus forcing a government shutdown – if Obama took unilateral action.

“President Obama’s decision to delay executive action to grant amnesty to illegal immigrants until after the election is of little comfort to people like myself who believe in the rule of law,” said Brown, who faces Sen. Jeanne Shaheen in November.

House Speaker John Boehner said Saturday there was “never a ‘right’ time” for the President to take action by himself.

“But the decision to simply delay this deeply controversial and possibly unconstitutional unilateral action until after the election — instead of abandoning the idea altogether — smacks of raw politics,” the top House Republican said.

The Democratic National Committee blasted the Republican criticism.

“The GOP, the party that has blocked meaningful comprehensive immigration reform at every turn and sued the President for acting, is now outraged that he hasn’t taken steps that many in their party deemed impeachable offenses,” the committee said in a statement.

But pro-immigration reform groups weren’t impressed with the delay.

The website of one group, United We Dream, displayed a message Saturday that Obama “has further cemented his legacy as the #DeporterInChief by delaying the usage of his executive authority to stop the deportation of millions of immigrants.”

Cristina Jimenez of United We Dream said: “The President’s latest broken promise is another slap to the face of the Latino and immigrant community.”

The immigration challenge

An estimated 11 million or more immigrants are living illegally in the United States, many of them for years or even decades. The Obama administration has deported or turned back more than 2 million people.

Last year, the Senate passed a comprehensive bill that would provide a path to legal status for the millions of long-term undocumented immigrants while also strengthening border security.

The legislation would have required immigrants illegally living in the country to register with the government, pay a penalty, learn English and begin the process of applying for legal status. It had the backing of the business community, organized labor and religious organizations.

However, House Republicans refused to consider the Senate bill, which Obama and Democrats claim would pass if put to a vote.

Conservatives say the Senate plan amounts to amnesty for lawbreakers, arguing they should be sent back to their home countries because they drive up the size and cost of government while competing with U.S. citizens for jobs.

Democrats want to remove the legal uncertainty for as many of the undocumented immigrants as possible, allowing them to continue living and working here so they can eventually gain legal status and possibly full citizenship.

What Obama has been considering

Among the actions that Obama was considering as recently as August, according to reform advocates involved in conversations with the White House: an expansion of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. It allows immigrants brought to the country illegally as children to stay without fear of deportation and apply for work permits if they meet certain criteria.

So far, some 660,000 young people have taken advantage of the program, according to a report by the nonpartisan Migration Policy Institute. That’s 55% of the 1.2 million who were immediately eligible.

Advocates said the administration also has been considering expanding the program to cover the parents of U.S. citizens or all undocumented parents.

The White House could also decide to cover undocumented immigrants in industries such as farming, or it could expand deportation relief based on how long a person has been living and working in the community. While there are many different mechanisms that could be used to provide relief, using the existing program as the template is an attractive alternative because that process has been running since 2012.

Many Republicans have called for immigration reform that includes tighter border controls. Before for August recess, the Republican-controlled House passed a bill that would have prevented Obama from granting new deferrals — or even renewing previously granted ones — under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program.

The Senate has not taken up the bill.

How far can the President go on executive actions?

5 things Obama can and can’t do on immigration

CNN’s Tom Cohen, Deirdre Walsh, Athena Jones, Jason Hanna and Kevin Liptak contributed to this report.


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Latinos furious at Obama on immigration delay, vow more pressure

By Julia Edwards

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Hispanic lawmakers and immigration advocates harshly criticized President Barack Obama’s decision to delay executive action on immigration and vowed to keep pressuring him to make bold changes.

Democratic Representatives Luis Gutierrez and Tony Cardenas on Sunday accused Obama of playing politics the day after the president said he would wait until after November’s congressional elections to change policy on immigration.

The announcement marked a reversal for Obama, who publicly promised to act by the end of summer.

“Playing it safe might win an election,” Gutierrez said on ABC’s “This Week” program. “But it almost never leads to fairness, to justice and to good public policy that you can be proud of.”

Senate Democrats at risk of losing their seats in the November elections pressed the White House to hold off an executive order.

Though many immigration advocates have been pushing hard for the White House to ease up on deportations of undocumented immigrations, wariness among the broader public began to build this summer, fueled by Republican accusations that executive actions would mark an overstepping of Obama’s authority.

Democrats worry that an executive action could cause them to lose control of the Senate in November.

Gutierrez, a member of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus and a passionate advocate of immigration reform, said he had called Obama and White House officials after hearing the executive action would be delayed. He said he expects to meet with administration officials this week on the issue.

Cardenas, who is also part of the Hispanic Caucus, said of Obama: “we all are frustrated with him right now because he’s taken way too long to take his executive actions.”

“I don’t like what the president’s advisers may be telling him. I can only speculate that they’ve encouraged them to wait. I would prefer he do it now,” Cardenas told the CNN’s “State of the Union” program.

Immigrant advocacy groups also criticized the delay.

“The president’s latest broken promise is another slap to the face of the Latino and immigrant community,” Cristina Jimenez, managing director for United We Dream, said in a statement on Saturday.

United We Dream asked supporters on social media to use the hashtag, “#deporterinchief,” to urge Obama to pull back from deporting undocumented immigrants.

The Senate last year passed a sweeping immigration bill that would have provided a path to citizenship for the 11 million undocumented immigrants within the United States. But the bill stalled in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives.

Republican opponents of the Senate bill have labeled it “amnesty” for people who entered the country illegally.

Obama made clear in an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he still planned to take action on immigration but said he would work to build support for such steps.

He said the surge of unaccompanied minors flooding across the southern border became a concern for many Americans and influenced the broader debate over immigration.

“And you know, the truth of the matter is that the politics did shift midsummer because of that problem,” Obama said in the interview, which was taped Saturday and aired Sunday.

“I want to spend some time, even as we’re getting all our ducks in a row for the executive action, I also want to make sure that the public understands why we’re doing this, why it’s the right thing for the American people, why it’s the right thing for the American economy,” he added.

(Additional reporting by Will Dunham and Emily Stephenson; Editing by Caren Bohan and Paul Simao)

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